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Trends in National Spending Priorities, 1973-2000


Tom W. Smith


General Social Survey
National Opinion Research Center
University of Chicago



January, 2001


Coming off the most closely divided election in American history, the new administration and Congress face a considerable challenge in forging and implementing a public agenda and legislative program. As the President and Congress work on budget proposals and frame policy initiatives, they may wish to know what the American people think governmental spending priorities should be.

Since 1973 the General Social Surveys (GSSs) conducted by the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago have asked people whether government spending in various areas from health to foreign aid is too much, too little, or about right. Table 1 presents the spending preferences of the American public for all areas across all years. (The question wording is given in Table 1 and details on the GSSs appear in the Technical Appendix.)

Eleven spending topics have been covered in the 22 GSSs between 1973 and 2000 and 20 spending areas have been included in each GSS since 1984.

To help distill this crunch of numbers, public support for spending is summarized in net spending scores. Net spending is the % saying that "too little" is being spent minus the % saying "too much" is being spent. For example, in 2000 62.9% said that "too little" was spent on the environment and 8.5% said "too much" was spent for a net spending score of +54.4 (i.e. 62.9% - 8.5 = +54.4 percentage points). If everyone favored more spending for an area, the maximum net spending score would be +100.0 and if everyone wanted less spending, the net spending score would -100.0. Positive scores indicate that more people want to increase spending than to decrease it and negative scores mean that cutters outnumber the adders.

Current Priorities:

For the first time since 1991 Health has topped the list as the spending area that people most want to see the government spend more funds on (Rankings in 1973-2000 for the list of 11 areas are in Table 2 and rankings for 1984-2000 for the fuller list of 20 areas are in Table 3). Health had fallen to fourth place in 1994 with a net spending score of +55.0, but has steadily regained popularity since then to a recorded high of +68.9 and first-place finish in 2000.

Education finished second in 2000, slipping from its first-place positions in 1996 and 1998. In absolute terms support for educational spending has been very high and changed little since 1989 (with net spending scores ranging from +66.2 to +71.5). Its drop in rank results from the strong gains in support for Health rather than any absolute decline in the public's backing of Education.

Together Health and Education distinguish themselves from the other areas as consistently being among the most favored programs during the last decade. In seven surveys since 1990 Health topped the list twice and Education finished first three times. Moreover, they both are well ahead of the next group of spending areas this year.

Next, comes five very closely grouped areas, Social Security 3rd at +55.2, Halting Crime 4th at +55.1, the Environment 5th at +54.4, Dealing with Drug Addiction 6th at +53.3, and Assisting the Poor 7th at +52.8. The differences between these closely clustered topics are so small as to be of little practical importance.

Social Security has gained major ground in recent years rising from 10th place in 1993 and 1994 to 9th in 1996, 5th in 1998, and 3rd in 2000. Its 3rd place finish and net spending score of +55.2 are the highest it has ever achieved.

Halting Crime was the perennial top choice from 1974 to 1988 and even regained first place in 1993 and 1994. But since 1994 net spending dropped from +71.4 to +55.1, the lowest support for Halting Crime ever recorded.

Support for environmental spending rose from +35.8 in 1980 to +70.4 and a first-place rank in 1989. But then backing of the Environment declined to +51.3 and a 7th place position in 1993. Since then the Environment has nudged upwards in it net spending score and its relative rank.

Dealing with Drug Addiction hit its recorded high of +66.8 and ranked 2nd in 1988, but slid back to a 7th place position with +57.7 by 1990. Its absolute score and relative ranks have changed little since then.

Assistance to the Poor has rebounded from a 10th place showing in 1996, but in both rank and absolute score remains below its more favored situation in the late 1980s and early 1990s.

Law Enforcement is in 8th place with a score of +43.9. Support for spending on Law Enforcement has always trailed support for Halting Crime because people are attracted to the results-oriented action promised in the latter area. Like Support for Halting Crime, support for Law Enforcement this year is at its lowest, measured level.

Drug Rehabilitation comes in 9th place with a score of +43.6. Support for spending on Drug Rehabilitation has always been lower than support for Dealing with Drug Addiction since it emphasizes only the medical approach for solving the drug problem. Its net spending score has changed little since 1993.

In 10th place at the bottom of the top half of spending priorities comes Solving the Problems of Big Cities with a score of +39.5. In both rank and absolute score support for Solving the Problems of Big Cities has fallen since the mid-1990s.

Mass Transportation at 11th place with a score of +31.5 is at its highest position since spending preference towards it have first been measured in 1984.

Parks and Recreation is in 12th place with a score of +31.1. Parks and Recreation has usually finished it 12th position over the years, but its score of +31.5 is the highest it has ever achieved.

In 13th place comes Highways and Bridges with a score of +22.7. In both rank and absolute score this is the lowest that Highways and Bridges has ever been.

In 14th and 15th place are two items on government programs for African Americans. Support for Improving the Condition of Blacks is at +21.5 and for the less results promising Assistance to Blacks support stands at +9.3. Both have gained some ground from low points in the 1990s.

Defense is in 16th place and is the first topic to show a negative net spending score (-1.1). While low on the priority list and still in the negatives, support has risen appreciably in recent years from a low of -33.4 in 1993. In rank and absolute score this year represents Defense's best showing since 1982.

In 17th place comes Assistance to Big Cities at -3.9. It finishes much worse that Solving the Problems of Big Cities because it does not promise positive results. It has shown little change in its rank or absolute score over the years and it is one of only four areas that has always had negative scores.

Welfare in 18th place with a score of -18.6 has regained considerable ground from a near record low of -49.3 in 1994. (Its low point was -49.6 in 1977). Welfare has always been favored much less than Assistance to the Poor. People like the idea of the government helping those with low-incomes, but consider Welfare a failed program. Part of the rise in support for Welfare reflects a positive response to the welfare reforms of the mid-1990s.

In 19th place is Space with a score of -28.3. Space has always finished in 17th-19th place. While its absolute score is up from -44.5 in 1993, its rank fell this year when Welfare moved ahead of it.

In last place in this and every year comes Foreign Aid with a score of -50.2. This is by far Foreign Aid's best score, up from -70 to -72 in the early and mid-1990s, but still leaves it solidly in 20th place.

Overall Spending Trends:

Support for overall spending (i.e. the average net spending across areas) has always been positive with more people favoring increases than cuts (Table 4). Looking at the 11-items that can be tracked from 1973 to 2000, support declined in the early 1970s to low points in 1976-78 (+11). The public then generally increased its overall support for spending over the next dozen years to highs of +24-25 in 1988-90. Then overall spending once again slipped to a moderate level of +16.8 in 1994 before rising again to a near record high of +23.7 in 2000.

Support for domestic social spending (average net spending for Health, Education, Welfare, Solving the Problems of Big Cities, and Improving the Condition of Blacks) has also always been in the pluses. It fell from an early high of +29.2 in 1974 to a low of +13-14 in 1977-78. Support then generally moved up to a record high of +39.9 in 1990. Support then slipped to +26.4 in 1994 and since then steadily rose to +35.5 in 2000.

Conclusion:

Despite a dislike of taxes (e.g. in 2000 64% said their own federal income tax was too high), more people have always favored increases in spending than cuts. In 2000, as in most years since the 1970s, people have backed more spending in three-quarters of the areas and less spending in only the bottom quarter. Moreover, the number of areas with positive net spending scores not only outnumber areas with negative scores, but are also larger. In 2000, the largest negative score (-50.2 for Foreign Aid) was bested by seven positive scores (Health +68.9, Education +66.4, Social Security +55.2, Halting Crime +55.1, the Environment +54.4, Dealing with Drug Addiction +53.3, and Assistance to the Poor +52.8).

The level of support has however waxed and waned over the decades and now is showing an upswing with overall spending scores approaching the record levels of the late 1980s and early 1990s.

Currently Health and Education are clearly the public's top two spending priorities with very high scores (+66-69) that are above even other very popular areas like Social Security, Crime, the Environment, Dealing with Drugs, and Assistance to the Poor (+53-55). The public is united behind the idea that Health and Education should be the top governmental spending priorities.

Table 1

Trends in National Spending Priorities, 1973-2000

We are faced with many problems in this country, none of which can be solved easily or inexpensively. I'm going to name some of these problems, and for each one I'd like you to tell me whether you think we're spending too much money on it, too little money, or about the right amount. First, (READ ITEM A)... are we spending too much, too little, or about the right amount on (ITEM)?
A. Space Exploration Program/Space Explorationa
B. Improving and Protecting the Environment/The Environment
C. Improving and Protecting the Nation's Health/Health
D1. Solving the Problems of the Big Cities
D2. Assistance to Big Cities
E1. Halting the Rising Crime Rate
E2. Law Enforcement
F1. Dealing with Drug Addiction
F2. Drug Rehabilitation
G. Improving the Nation's Education System/Education
H1. Improving the Condition of Blacks
H2. Assistance to Blacks
I. The Military, Armaments, and Defense/National Defense
J. Foreign Aid/Assistance to Other Countries
K1. Welfare
K2. Assistance to the Poor
L. Highways and Bridges
M. Social Security
N. Mass Transportation
O. Parks and Recreation
P. Assistance for Childcare
aFor explanation of the dual headings see Technical Appendix.
A. Space Exploration Program/Space Exploration
19731974197519761977 197819801982
Too little 7.5 7.9 8.0 9.010.812.219.7 13.6
About right31.129.232.229.437.337.937.7 44.5
Too much61.462.959.860.851.949.9 42.641.9
Net (TL - TM) -53.9 -55.0 -51.8 -51.8 -41.1 -37.7-22.9 -28.3
198319841985198619871988 19891990
Too little14.812.111.510.816.9 20.316.1 11.4
About right43.143.845.748.343.542.646.3 46.8
Too much42.144.242.840.939.637.1 37.741.8
Net (TL - TM) -27.3 -32.1 -31.3 -30.1 -22.7 -16.8-21.6 -30.4
1991199319941996 1998 2000
Too little12.9 7.9 9.512.711.514.9
About right48.339.741.644.6 46.941.9
Too much 38.852.448.942.741.643.2
Net (TL - TM) -25.9 -44.5 -39.4 -30.0-30.1 -28.3
B. Improving and Protecting the Environment/The Environment
197319741975 197619771978 19801982
Too little64.663.757.958.652.1 55.051.9 54.4
About right27.627.932.232.036.3 34.732.0 33.4
Too much 7.7 8.3 9.9 9.411.610.3 16.112.2
Net (TL - TM) +56.9 +55.4 +48.0 +49.2 +40.5 +44.7 +35.8 +42.2
198319841985 198619871988 19891990
Too little58.160.462.462.466.5 68.175.0 75.0
About right32.532.429.631.327.4 27.420.4 21.2
Too much 9.4 7.1 8.0 6.3 6.1 4.6 4.6 3.8
Net (TL - TM) +48.7 +53.3 +54.4 +56.1 +60.4 +63.5 +70.4 +71.2
19911993199419961998 2000
Too little71.860.562.762.064.7 62.9
About right23.230.228.227.727.528.6
Too much 5.0 9.2 9.010.3 7.8 8.5
Net (TL - TM)+66.8+51.3+53.7+51.7+56.9+54.4
C. Improving and Protecting the Nation's Health/Health
197319741975197619771978 19801982
Too little63.466.965.663.059.2 57.257.9 59.3
About right31.828.829.132.434.035.934.3 33.8
Too much 4.8 4.3 5.4 4.6 6.8 6.9 7.8 6.9
Net (TL - TM)+58.6+62.6+60.2+58.4+52.4+50.3+50.1 +52.4
198319841985198619871988 19891990
Too little59.558.857.860.668.5 70.270.4 72.2
About right34.733.434.534.125.325.525.0 24.1
Too much 6.9 5.8 7.8 7.7 5.5 6.1 4.6 3.7
Net (TL - TM)+52.6+53.0+50.0+52.9+63.0+64.1+65.8 +68.5
19911993199419961998 2000
Too little70.773.266.065.669.6 72.6
About right26.016.223.024.923.523.7
Too much 3.310.711.0 9.4 6.9 3.7
Net (TL - TM)+67.4+62.5+55.0+56.2+62.7+68.9
D1. Solving the Problems of the Big Cities
197319741975197619771978 19801982
Too little55.458.656.548.047.7 45.045.9 49.8
About right31.029.029.529.929.633.629.5 26.9
Too much13.712.314.022.022.721.5 24.623.4
Net (TL - TM)+41.7+46.3+42.5+26.0+25.0+23.5+21.3 +26.4
198319841985198619871988 19891990
Too little47.351.943.349.244.4 54.753.1 59.0
About right34.533.338.033.339.234.434.0 30.4
Too much18.314.718.817.516.410.9 12.910.7
Net (TL - TM)+29.0+37.2+24.5+31.7+28.0+43.8+40.2 +48.3
19911993199419961998 2000
Too little52.562.160.859.151.6 51.8
About right33.525.325.025.934.536.0
Too much13.912.514.114.913.9 12.3
Net (TL - TM)+38.6+49.6+46.7+44.2+37.7+39.5
D2. Assistance to Big Cities
198419851986198719881989 19901991
Too little19.220.517.122.525.3 22.324.9 24.2
About right42.037.443.443.140.340.144.739.5
Too much38.842.139.534.434.437.6 30.436.3
Net (TL - TM)-19.6-21.6-22.4-11.9-9.1 -15.3-5.5 -12.1
19931994199619982000
Too little27.227.225.622.026.9
About right35.938.037.944.842.3
Too much36.934.936.533.230.8
Net (TL -TM) -9.7-7.7-10.9 -11.2-3.9
E1. Halting the Rising Crime Rate
197319741975197619771978 19801982
Too little68.370.669.270.070.6 67.772.2 75.9
About right26.924.425.121.823.425.921.7 18.9
Too much 4.8 5.1 5.7 8.2 6.1 6.4 6.1 5.2
Net (TL - TM)+63.5+65.5+63.5+61.8+64.5+61.3+66.1 +70.7
198319841985198619871988 19891990
Too little68.871.365.166.472.2 72.474.9 70.9
About right25.823.829.029.122.523.420.1 24.8
Too much 5.4 4.9 5.9 4.5 5.3 4.2 4.9 4.3
Net (TL - TM)+63.4+66.4+59.2+61.9+66.9+68.2+70.0 +66.9
19911993199419961998 2000
Too little68.173.777.669.363.7 60.7
About right26.721.116.323.128.933.7
Too much 5.2 5.1 6.2 7.6 7.4 5.6
Net (TL - TM)+62.9+68.6+71.4+61.7+56.3+55.1
E2. Law Enforcement
198419851986198719881989 19901991
Too little57.758.152.853.756.4 62.358.0 56.9
About right35.336.240.539.838.130.936.437.1
Too much 6.9 5.7 6.6 6.5 5.5 6.8 5.7 6.1
Net (TL - TM) +50.8 +52.4 +46.2 +47.2 +50.9 +55.5 +52.3 +50.8
19931994199619982000
Too little60.465.359.156.852.2
About right33.327.832.135.039.4
Too much 6.2 7.0 8.8 8.3 8.3
Net (TL -TM)+54.2+58.3+50.3+48.5 +43.9
F1. Dealing with Drug Addiction
197319741975197619771978 19801982
Too little70.363.659.363.659.5 57.864.9 61.2
About right23.129.432.328.531.932.727.3 29.6
Too much 6.6 7.0 8.5 7.9 8.7 9.5 7.9 9.3
Net (TL - TM) +63.7 +56.6 +50.8 +55.7 +50.8 +48.3 +57.0 +51.9
198319841985198619871988 19891990
Too little62.066.264.860.166.4 70.973.0 64.6
About right32.227.729.633.828.125.020.7 28.5
Too much 5.8 6.1 5.6 6.1 5.5 4.1 6.3 6.9
Net (TL - TM)+56.2+60.1+59.2+54.0+60.9+66.8+66.7 +57.7
19911993199419961998 2000
Too little60.363.363.260.460.8 62.3
About right31.828.727.627.829.528.7
Too much 7.9 8.1 9.211.7 9.7 9.0
Net (TL - TM)+52.4+55.2+54.0+48.7+51.1+53.3
F2. Drug Rehabilitation
198419851986198719881989 19901991
Too little50.757.855.660.861.3 62.566.7 61.4
About right39.233.934.431.230.428.225.130.8
Too much10.1 8.310.0 8.0 8.2 9.3 8.2 7.8
Net (TL - TM)+40.6+49.5+45.6+52.8+53.1+53.2+58.5 +53.6
19931994199619982000
Too little57.955.557.256.054.8
About right31.432.630.731.634.0
Too much10.711.912.112.411.2
Net (TL -TM)+47.2+43.6+45.1+43.6+43.6
G. Improving the Nation's Education System/Education
197319741975197619771978 19801982
Too little51.353.551.852.650.4 53.355.9 57.2
About right39.438.336.538.139.834.934.3 33.8
Too much 9.3 8.211.7 9.3 9.811.8 9.9 9.0
Net (TL - TM) +42.0 +45.3 +40.1 +43.3 +40.6+41.5 +46.0 +48.2
198319841985198619871988 19891990
Too little61.764.464.965.065.1 68.571.2 74.5
About right32.220.628.830.429.327.7 25.5 22.5
Too much 6.1 5.0 6.2 4.7 5.6 3.8 3.3 3.0
Net (TL - TM)+55.6+59.4+58.7+60.3+59.5+64.7+67.9 +71.5
19911993199419961998 2000
Too little70.771.473.073.072.9 71.4
About right24.823.021.521.520.523.7
Too much 4.5 5.6 5.5 5.5 6.6 5.0
Net (TL - TM) +66.2 +65.8 +67.5 +67.5 +66.3 +66.4
H1. Improving the Condition of Blacks
197319741975197619771978 19801982
Too little35.333.429.429.627.5 26.326.7 30.2
About right41.944.544.442.746.246.947.8 48.0
Too much22.822.026.327.626.326.8 25.521.8
Net (TL - TM) +12.5 +11.4+3.1+2.0+1.2-0.5+1.2 +8.4
198319841985198619871988 19891990
Too little31.737.332.137.237.4 38.037.3 41.1
About right47.246.046.346.246.345.346.1 42.7
Too much21.116.321.616.616.316.6 16.115.9
Net (TL - TM)+10.6+21.0+10.5+20.6+21.1+21.4+21.2 +25.2
19911993199419961998 2000
Too little39.039.434.035.436.9 38.1
About right45.343.643.943.245.245.2
Too much15.617.022.121.417.9 16.6
Net (TL - TM)+23.4+22.4+11.9+14.0+19.0+21.5
H2. Assistance to Blacks
198419851986198719881989 19901991
Too little26.528.823.528.229.0 31.331.1 34.5
About right45.944.847.847.646.244.745.745.4
Too much27.626.428.824.224.824.0 23.220.1
Net (TL - TM)-1.1+2.4-5.3+4.0+4.2+7.3+7.9 +14.4
19931994199619982000
Too little27.226.525.429.333.4
About right44.844.146.445.642.5
Too much28.029.428.225.224.1
Net (TL -TM) -0.8-2.9-2.8+4.1+9.3
I. The Military, Armaments, and Defense/National Defense
197319741975197619771978 19801982
Too little12.117.917.826.225.7 29.860.9 31.2
About right47.448.549.345.049.447.437.1 37.2
Too much40.533.632.928.824.822.9 12.031.6
Net (TL - TM)-28.4-15.7 -15.1-2.6+0.9+6.9+48.9 +0.4
198319841985198619871988 19891990
Too little25.517.815.517.118.0 17.915.8 10.8
About right40.243.042.544.341.342.642.9 44.9
Too much34.339.142.038.740.839.5 41.344.3
Net (TL - TM)-8.8 -21.3-26.5-21.6-22.8-21.6-25.5 -33.5
19911993199419961998 2000
Too little14.211.217.318.218.8 24.5
About right59.144.249.348.949.249.9
Too much26.844.633.432.932.0 25.6
Net (TL - TM) -12.6 -33.4 -16.1 -14.7 -13.2-1.1
J. Foreign Aid/Assistance to Other Countries
197319741975197619771978 19801982
Too little 4.9 3.2 5.6 2.9 3.7 4.3 5.5 5.6
About right21.918.317.818.525.525.321.5 19.0
Too much73.278.576.778.670.870.4 72.975.3
Net (TL - TM)-68.3-75.3-71.1-75.7-67.1-66.1-67.4 -69.7
198319841985198619871988 19891990
Too little 4.4 4.4 7.6 5.2 6.3 4.9 5.6 6.2
About right17.719.323.619.321.122.322.4 23.4
Too much77.976.368.875.572.672.8 72.170.4
Net (TL - TM)-73.5-71.9-61.2-70.3-66.3-67.9-66.5 -64.2
19911993199419961998 2000
Too little 3.7 4.5 4.6 4.2 6.8 9.4
About right21.020.919.820.7 25.331.0
Too much75.274.675.675.167.9 59.6
Net (TL - TM)-71.5-70.1-71.0-70.9-61.1-50.2
K1. Welfare
197319741975197619771978 19801982
Too little20.923.824.614.113.1 13.514.3 20.4
About right25.032.830.022.724.224.926.5 28.4
Too much54.143.445.463.262.761.6 59.251.2
Net (TL - TM)-33.2-19.6-20.8-49.1-49.6-48.1-44.9 -30.8
198319841985198619871988 19891990
Too little22.124.418.923.421.5 24.724.2 24.4
About right28.735.934.734.532.632.532.7 37.1
Too much49.239.846.442.145.942.8 43.138.4
Net (TL - TM)-27.1-15.4-27.5-18.7-24.4-18.1-18.9 -14.0
19911993199419961998 2000
Too little24.017.113.115.316.0 20.8
About right36.725.624.626.637.739.8
Too much39.357.362.458.146.3 39.4
Net (TL - TM)-15.3-40.2-49.3-42.8-30.3-18.6
K2. Assistance to the Poor
198419851986198719881989 19901991
Too little63.265.863.267.370.2 68.168.7 66.4
About right25.624.328.123.322.823.424.524.5
Too much11.3 9.9 8.7 9.4 6.9 8.5 6.7 9.2
Net (TL - TM)+51.9+55.9+54.5+57.9+63.3+59.6+62.0 +57.2
19931994199619982000
Too little64.459.355.162.864.3
About right23.025.226.325.824.2
Too much12.615.518.611.411.5
Net (TL -TM)+51.8+43.8+36.5+51.4+52.8
L. Highways and Bridges
198419851986198719881989 19901991
Too little49.144.036.536.937.4 40.147.0 36.4
About right44.248.254.854.054.752.446.652.2
Too much 6.8 7.7 8.6 9.2 7.9 7.5 6.311.4
Net (TL - TM)+42.3+36.3+27.9+27.7+29.5+32.6+40.7 +25.0
19931994199619982000
Too little38.540.138.140.535.1
About right52.451.952.349.452.5
Too much 9.1 7.9 9.610.112.4
Net (TL -TM)+29.4+32.2+28.5+30.4+22.7
M. Social Security
198419851986198719881989 19901991
Too little53.954.257.357.155.5 57.152.1 55.8
About right35.938.536.236.139.437.942.240.2
Too much10.2 7.3 6.5 6.8 5.1 5.0 5.8 4.0
Net (TL - TM)+43.7+46.9+50.8+50.3+50.4+52.1+46.3 +51.8
19931994199619982000
Too little46.049.151.759.860.3
About right46.243.639.633.334.5
Too much 7.8 7.3 8.7 6.9 5.1
Net (TL -TM)+38.2+41.8+43.0+52.9 +55.2
N. Mass Transportation
198419851986 198719881989 19901991
Too little37.232.130.632.231.7 33.337.1 37.2
About right50.954.255.353.757.256.353.253.0
Too much11.913.714.114.111.110.3 9.8 9.8
Net (TL - TM)+25.3+18.4+16.5+18.1+20.6+23.0+27.3 +27.4
19931994199619982000
Too little38.138.235.034.939.9
About right50.953.153.454.751.7
Too much11.0 8.711.610.4 8.4
Net (TL -TM)+27.1+29.5+23.4+24.5+31.5
O. Parks and Recreation
198419851986198719881989 19901991
Too little33.931.530.630.231.3 35.032.7 32.1
About right60.560.763.163.263.259.761.3 63.1
Too much 5.6 7.8 6.4 6.6 5.5 5.3 6.0 4.8
Net (TL - TM)+28.3+23.7+24.2+23.6+25.8+29.7+26.7 +27.3
19931994199619982000
Too little32.531.433.536.336.8
About right60.662.260.257.457.5
Too much 6.9 6.4 6.2 6.3 5.7
Net (TL -TM)+25.6 +25.0+27.3+30.0+31.1
P. Assistance for Childcare
2000
Too Little64.9
About Right29.5
Too Much 5.6
Net (TL-TM) +59.3

Table 2

Rank of Net Spending Priorities, 1973-2000

RANK
1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 19781980 1982 1983
1 DrugsCrimeCrimeCrimeCrimeCrimeCrimeCrimeCrime
+63.7+65.5+63.5+61.8+64.5+61.3+66.1+70.7+63.4
2 CrimeHealthHealthHealthHealthHealthDrugsHealthDrugs
+63.5+62.6+60.2+58.4+52.4+50.3+57.0+52.4+56.2
3 HealthDrugsDrugsDrugsDrugsDrugsHealthDrugsEduc.
+58.6+56.6+50.8+55.7+50.8+48.3+50.1+51.9+55.6
4 Envir.Envir.Envir.Envir.Educ.Envir.DefenseEduc.Health
+56.9+55.4+48.0+49.2+40.6+44.7+48.9+48.2+52.6
5 SolCitySolCitySolCityEduc.Envir.Educ.Educ.Envir.Envir.
+41.7+46.3+42.5+43.3+40.5+41.5+46.0+42.2+48.7
6 Educ.Educ.Educ.SolCitySolCitySolCityEnvir.SolCitySolCity
+42.0+45.3+40.1+26.0+25.0+23.5+35.8+26.4+29.0
7 ImpBlksImpBlksImpBlksImpBlksImpBlksDefenseSolCityImpBlksImpBlks
+12.5+11.4+ 3.1+ 2.0+ 1.2+ 6.9+21.3+ 8.4+10.6
8 DefenseDefenseDefenseDefenseDefenseImpBlksImpBlksDefenseDefense
-28.4-15.7-15.1- 2.6+ 0.9- 0.5+ 1.2+ 0.4- 8.8
9 WelfareWelfareWelfareWelfareSpaceSpaceSpaceSpaceWelfare
-33.2-19.6-20.8-49.1-41.1-37.7-22.9-28.3-27.1
10SpaceSpaceSpaceSpaceWelfareWelfareWelfareWelfareSpace
-53.9-55.0-51.8-51.8-49.6-48.1-44.9-30.8-27.3
11ForAidForAidForAidForAidForAidForAidForAidForAidForAid
-68.3-75.3-71.1-75.7-67.1-66.1-67.4-69.7-73.5

Abbreviations/Labels Used in Tables 2-3:

AidBlks=Assistance to Blacks
AidCity=Assistance to Big Cities
Crime=Halting the Rising Crime Rate
Defense=The Military, Armaments, and Defense/National Defense
Drugs=Dealing with Drug Addiction
Educ.=Improving the Nation's Education System/Education
Envir.=Improving and Protecting the Environment/The Environment
ForAid=Foreign Aid/Assistance to Other Countries
Health=Improving and Protecting the Nation's Health/Health
ImpBlks=Improving the Condition of Blacks
LawEnf=Law Enforcement
Parks=Parks and Recreation
Poor=Assistance to the Poor
Rehab.=Drug Rehabilitation
Roads=Highways and Bridges
SocSec=Social Security
SolCity=Solving the Problems of the Big Cities
Space=Space Exploration Program/Space Exploration
Trans.=Mass Transportation
Welfare=Welfare



Table 3

Rank of Net Spend Priorities, 1984-2000

RANK
1984198519861987198819891990199119931994 199619982000
1 CrimeCrimeCrimeCrimeCrimeEnvir. Educ.Health CrimeCrimeEduc.Educ. Health
+66.4+59.2+61.9+66.9+68.2+70.4+71.5+67.4+68.6+71.4+67.5+66.3 +68.9
2 DrugsDrugsEduc.Health DrugsCrimeEnvir. Envir. Educ.Educ.CrimeHealthEduc.
+60.1+59.2+60.3+63.0+66.8+70.0+71.2+66.8+65.8+67.5+61.7+62.7 +66.4
3 Educ.Educ.Envir. DrugsEduc.Educ.Health Educ.Health LawEnf Health Envir.SocSec
+67.9+58.7+56.1+60.9+59.4+67.9+68.5+66.2+62.5+58.3+56.2+56.7 +55.2
4 Envir. PoorPoorEnvir. Health DrugsCrimeCrimeDrugsHealth Envir. Crime Crime
+53.3+55.9+54.5+60.4+64.1+66.7+66.9+62.9+55.2+55.0+51.7+56.3 +55.1
5 Health Envir. DrugsEduc.Envir. Health PoorPoorLawEnf DrugsLawEnf SocSecEnvir.
+53.0+54.4+54.0+59.5+63.5+65.8+62.0+57.2+54.2+54.0+50.3+52.9 +54.4
6 PoorLawEnf Health PoorPoorPoorRehab. Rehab. PoorEnvir. DrugsPoorDrugs
+51.9+52.4+52.9+57.9+63.3+59.6+58.5+53.6+51.8+53.7+48.7+51.4 +53.3
7 LawEnf Health SocSec Rehab. Rehab. LawEnf DrugsDrugsEnvir. SolCityRehab. Drugs Poor
+50.8+50.0+50.8+52.8+53.1+55.5+57.7+52.4+51.3+46.7+45.1+51.1 +52.8
8 SocSec Rehab. LawEnf SocSec LawEnf Rehab. LawEnf SocSec SolCityPoorSolCityLawEnfLawEnf
+43.7+49.5+46.2+50.3+50.9+53.2+52.3+51.8+49.6+43.8+44.2+48.5 +43.9
9 RoadsSocSec Rehab. LawEnf SocSec SocSec SolCityLawEnf Rehab. Rehab. SocSec Rehab.Rehab.
+42.3+46.9+45.6+47.2+50.4+52.1+48.3+50.8+47.2+43.6+43.0+43.6 +43.6
10Rehab. RoadsSolCitySolCitySolCitySolCitySocSec SolCitySocSec SocSec PoorSolCitySolCity
+40.6+36.3+31.7+28.0+43.8+40.2+46.3+38.6+38.2+41.8+36.5+37.7 +39.5
11SolCitySolCityRoadsRoadsRoadsRoadsRoadsTrans. RoadsRoadsRoadsRoads Trans.
+37.2+24.5+27.9+27.7+29.5+32.6+40.7+27.4+29.4+32.2+28.5+30.4 +31.5
12ParksParksParksParksParksParksTrans. ParksTrans. Trans. ParksParks Parks
+28.3+23.7+24.2+23.6+25.8+29.7+27.3+27.3+27.1+29.5+27.3+30.0 +31.1
13Trans. ImpBlksImpBlksImpBlksImpBlksTrans. ImpBlksRoadsParksParksTrans. Trans.Roads
+25.3+10.5+20.6+21.1+21.4+23.0+25.2+25.0+25.6+25.0+23.4+24.5 +22.7
14ImpBlksTrans. Trans. Trans. Trans. ImpBlksParksImpBlksImpBlksImpBlksImpBlksImpBlksImpBlks
+21.0+18.4+16.5+18.1+20.6+21.2+26.7+23.4+22.4+11.9+14.0+19.0 +21.5
15AidBlksAidBlksAidBlksAidBlksAidBlksAidBlksAidBlksAidBlksAidBlksAidBlksAidBlksAidBlksAidBlks
- 1.1+ 2.4- 5.3+ 4.0+ 4.2+ 7.3+ 7.9+14.4- 0.8- 2.9- 2.8+ 4.1 + 9.3
16WelfareAidCityWelfareAidCityAidCityAidCityAidCityAidCityAidCityAidCityAidCityAidCityDefense
-15.4-21.6-18.7-11.9- 9.0-15.3- 5.5-12.1- 9.7- 7.7-10.9-11.2 - 1.1
17AidCityDefenseDefenseDefenseSpaceWelfareWelfareDefenseDefenseDefenseDefenseDefenseAidCity
-19.6-26.5-21.6-22.8-16.8-18.9-14.0-12.6-33.4-16.1-14.7-13.2 - 3.9
18DefenseWelfareAidCityWelfareWelfareSpaceSpaceWelfareWelfareSpaceSpaceSpace Welfare
-21.3-27.5-22.4-24.4-18.1-21.6-30.4-15.3-40.2-39.4-30.0-30.1 -18.6
19SpaceSpaceSpaceSpaceDefenseDefenseDefenseSpaceSpaceWelfareWelfareWelfareSpace
-32.1-31.3-30.1-22.7-21.6-25.5-33.5-25.9-44.5-49.3-42.8-30.3 -28.3
20ForAid ForAid ForAid ForAid ForAid ForAid ForAid ForAid ForAid ForAid ForAid ForAidForAid
-71.9-61.2-70.3-66.3-67.9-66.5-64.2-71.5-70.1-71.0-70.9-61.1 -50.2

Table 4

Trends in Overall and Domestic Welfare Spending, 1973-2000

Overall SpendingDomestic Social Spending
1973+14.1+24.2
1974+16.1+29.2
1975+13.6+25.0
1976+10.7+16.1
1977+10.9+13.9
1978+11.3+13.3
1980+17.4+14.7
1982+13.8+20.9
1983+16.3+24.1
1984+19.1+31.0
1985+15.5+23.2
1986+17.9+29.4
1987+20.3+29.4
1988+24.4+35.2
1989+24.5+35.2
1990+24.3+39.9
1991+22.9+36.1
1993+17.0+32.0
1994+16.8+26.4
1996+16.9+27.8
1998+19.5+31.1
2000+23.7+35.5
Overall Spending = Average Net Spending for all 11 items
Domestic Welfare Spending = Average Net Spending for 5 items (Improving and Protecting the Nation's Health, Solving the Problems of the Big Cities, Improving the Nation's Education System, Improving the Condition of Blacks, Welfare)

Technical Appendix

General Social Surveys (GSS)

The GSS are conducted by the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago. James A. Davis, Tom W. Smith, and Peter V. Marsden are the principal investigators. The GSS are full-probability samples of adults living in households in the United States. Interviews are conducted in-person. Sample size across 1973-2000 totals 38,613 respondents (1973=1504, 1974=1484, 1975=1490, 1976=1499, 1977=1530, 1978=1532, 1980=1468, 1982=1506, 1983=1599, 1984=1473, 1985=1534, 1986=1470, 1987=1466, 1988=1481, 1989=1537, 1990=1372, 1991=1517, 1993=1606, 1994=2992, 1996=2904, 1998=2832, 2000=2817). Full technical details on the sample, response rates, and other methodological matters are presented in James A. Davis, Tom W. Smith, and Peter V. Marsden, General Social Surveys, 1972-2000: Cumulative Codebook. Chicago: NORC, 2001.

National Spending Priority Items

Items covering 11 areas have been asked in every GSS since 1973 (Space Exploration Program, Improving and Protecting the Environment, Improving and Protecting the Nation's Health, Solving the Problems of the Big Cities, Halting the Rising Crime Rate, Dealing with Drug Addiction, Improving the Nation's Education System, Improving the Condition of Blacks, The Military, Armaments, and Defense, Foreign Aid, Welfare). Since 1984 an additional four areas have been included (Highways and Roads, Social Security, Mass Transportation, Parks and Recreation). In 2000 a 16th area (Assistance for Childcare) was added.

Also since 1984, 11 alternative wordings for the original spending items have been asked on a random sub-sample (Space Exploration, The Environment, Health, Assistance to Big Cities, Law Enforcement, Drug Rehabilitation, Education, Assistance to Blacks, National Defense, Assistance to Other Countries, Assistance to the Poor). When the alternative wordings produced distributions that did not significantly differ from the original wordings they have been combined together (Space Exploration Program/Space Exploration, Improving and Protecting the Environment/The Environment, Improving and Protecting the Nation's Health/Health, Improving the Nation's Education System/Education, The Military, Armaments, and Defense/National Defense, Foreign Aid/Assistance to Other Countries). For the remaining five original spending areas the standard and alternative results are presented separately. Differences between the standard and alternative wordings are examined in Tom W. Smith, "A Preliminary Analysis of Methodological Experiments in the 1984 GSS," GSS Methodological Report No. 30. Chicago: NORC, 1984; Tom W. Smith, "That Which We Call Welfare by Any Other Name Would Smell Sweeter: An Analysis of the Impact of Question Wording on Response Patterns," Public Opinion Quarterly, 51 (Spring, 1987), 75-83; and Kenneth A. Rasinski, "The Effect of Question Wording on Public Support for Government Spending," GSS Methodological Report No. 54. Chicago: NORC, 1988.


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